Scenarios for Higher Education: doom or doom?

#secondlife #vwmooc25 Sheila Yoshikawa discusses Scenarios for Higher Education: doom or doom? Sheila will introduce the four scenarios for the future of learning in Higher Education that are set out in the 2025 Horizon Report https://library.educause.edu/resources/2025/5/2025-educause-horizon-report-teaching-and-learning-edition The four scenarios assume: growth, constraint, collapse and transformation. This part will be in voice plus text chat of the main text. We will then have a discussion about each of the scenarios and also what could be the alternative scenarios - in text chat. Virtual Worlds Education Roundtable: https://maps.secondlife.com/secondlife/Infolit%20iSchool/232/24/22 Join us at 11th annual VWMOOC25 August 4 - 31 scheduled sessions https://docs.google.com/document/d/1nRf_q1VgMnpwK4KGhL2JXY_MQ3G1uyc7GFuBY3k6h3o/edit?usp=sharing and at the headquarters http://maps.secondlife.com/secondlife/Chilbo/136/34/95 and at our Moodle LMS https://integrating-technology.org/course/view.php?id=13 Join this channel to get access to perks: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCsLt8oYvDYGpSHcGhRBBkyw/join Here is a timeline of the video's events: [00:00]: Introduction to VWMO 25 and the presenter. [00:19]: Welcome to the Virtual World Education Roundtable (VWER) and information about its purpose, meeting times, and collaboration with the Virtual Worlds Education Consortium. [01:03]: Details about the VWER transcript, community development, Second Life and Facebook groups, and upcoming event series. [02:12]: Introduction to today's topic, "Scenarios for Higher Education," and instructions on how to access session materials in Second Life. [02:55]: Introductions from attendees in the text chat, including their real-life roles and Second Life activities. [05:50]: Acknowledgment of a new joiner and taking photos for meeting records. [06:12]: Introduction to the 2025 Horizon Report, its focus on educational technology trends, and where to find the PDF link. [08:16]: Overview of the Horizon Report's four scenarios for higher education: growth, constraint, collapse, and transformation, and potential discussion approaches. [12:16]: Presentation of the "Growth" scenario, including its core idea, the story of Dalon in a VR environment, and a description of the dystopian setting. [16:16]: Discussion on the likelihood of the "Growth" scenario using the "opinionator" tool, with attendees sharing their thoughts on VR adoption, social isolation, and energy consumption. [21:20]: Introduction to the "Constraint" scenario, focusing on an AI tool (OPTIGRAD) predicting student success and its impact on university admissions and funding. [26:55]: Discussion on the likelihood and implications of the "Constraint" scenario, touching on existing admission processes, wealth gaps, and accountability. [30:59]: Presentation of the "Collapse" scenario, detailing the breakdown of truth due to unregulated generative AI, the challenge to higher education's role, and the "freemium" business model for MOOCs. This includes the story of Dr. Batty's class discussing moon landing hoaxes. [37:00]: Discussion on the likelihood of the "Collapse" scenario, with participants sharing concerns about fake news, scams, and the difficulty of discerning authentic information. [41:20]: Introduction to the "Transformation" scenario, where higher education shifts towards workforce readiness, industry partnerships, and practical skills, leading to the near extinction of liberal arts. [46:13]: Discussion on the "Transformation" scenario, with attendees debating the role of universities, the value of practical vs. liberal arts education, and the increasing focus on employability. [50:09]: Concluding remarks and thanks to participants for their contributions.